LAFAYETTE MONEY LENS
Pillar

AI & Technology

The economic and business consequences of the technologies changing how work gets done.

What's happening

Capable systems are being embedded into ordinary business workflows faster than most organisations have built the processes to supervise them. The technical frontier and the operational frontier have come apart.

Why it matters

The interesting question is not what a model can do in a demonstration but what it changes in a cost structure, a job description and a liability. Value shows up where a task is genuinely repetitive, verifiable and expensive — and evaporates where verification costs as much as the work.

Forces behind it

Unit economics
Inference costs money per use. Products whose margin depends on that cost falling are making a forecast, not a plan.
Capital spending
Compute, power and data-centre capacity are long-lived, heavy commitments made against demand that is still being discovered.
Verification cost
The expense of checking an output. Where it approaches the cost of producing the work, the automation saves little.
Enterprise adoption
Procurement, security review, integration and retraining move on institutional time, which is why capability and deployment diverge for years.
Labour composition
Tasks are affected before jobs are. Roles are reassembled around what still requires judgement, context and accountability.
Regulation and liability
Rules on data, disclosure and responsibility for automated decisions determine which use cases are commercially available at all.

What to watch next

  • 01Cost per unit of useful output, not cost per token
  • 02Whether adoption is expanding beyond pilots into core workflows
  • 03Capital expenditure commitments relative to disclosed demand
  • 04Where verification is cheap, and where it quietly is not
  • 05Power and infrastructure as the binding physical constraint
  • 06Tasks being reassigned versus headcount being changed
  • 07Regulatory posture on disclosure, data and accountability

AI & Technology articles

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